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    Home » U.S. Recession: Not But, However Probably Quickly
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    U.S. Recession: Not But, However Probably Quickly

    ElisBy ElisOctober 8, 2025No Comments3 Mins Read
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    U.S. Recession: Not But, However Probably Quickly
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    This text was written by

    I graduated from the College of Western Australia in 1984 with a level in digital engineering and from 1984 till 1998 labored within the industrial development business as an engineer, a challenge supervisor and an operations supervisor.
    I started investing within the inventory market 2 months previous to the 1987 inventory market crash and thus shortly discovered in regards to the draw back potential of shares. Solely barely daunted by the slightly inauspicious timing of my entry into the world of monetary market investments, my curiosity within the inventory market grew steadily over time.
    In 1993, after learning the historical past of cash, the character of our present-day fiat financial system and the function of banks within the creation of cash, I developed an curiosity in gold. One other crucial lesson quickly adopted: gold often is the perfect type of cash for many who imagine in free markets and a beautiful hedge towards the inherent instability of the government-imposed paper currencies, however it isn’t all the time a superb funding.
    By mid-1998 the money and time concerned in my monetary market analysis/investments had grown to the purpose the place I used to be pressured to decide: cut back on my involvement within the monetary world or quit my day job. The choice was truly fairly a straightforward one to make and so, at first of 1999, I started investing/buying and selling on a full-time foundation.
    My main concern in deciding to pursue a profession through which I devoted all of my time to my very own investments was that I might miss the non-public interplay that had been half and parcel of my enterprise administration profession. The Speculative Investor (TSI) site was launched in August of 1999 as a method for me to work together with the world by making my evaluation/concepts accessible on the Web and welcoming suggestions from others with related pursuits.
    Throughout its first 14 months of operation the TSI site was freed from cost, however as a result of website’s rising recognition I modified it to a subscription-based service in October of 2000. Its recognition continued to develop, though I remained — and stay to at the present time — an expert speculator who occurs to jot down a publication versus somebody whose overriding focus is promoting publication subscriptions.
    My method is ‘prime down’; particularly, I first confirm total market traits after which use a mixture of elementary and technical evaluation to seek out particular person shares that stand to profit from these broad traits. This method relies on my expertise that it is an order of magnitude simpler to select a profitable inventory from inside a market or market sector that is immersed in a long-term bullish development than to take action towards the backdrop of a bearish total market development. Happily, there’s all the time a bull market someplace.
    I’ve lived in Asia (Hong Kong, China and Malaysia) since 1995 and presently reside in Malaysian Borneo.

    Elis
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